资本积累、技术变迁与总量生产函数——基于中国1980-2005年经验数据的分析

确定一国经济增长过程中的总量生产函数,是宏观经济学界面临的重要问题。本文在估算中国物质资本存量的基础上,通过研究不同年份技术变迁的总体情况,使总量生产函数本身的变迁与沿着该曲线产生的各种移动相分离,从而能够弥补已有文献在这一领域的不足,得出更加准确的总量生产函数形式。资本存量、技术变动和总量生产函数的确定,既能满足研究各种要素投入对经济增长贡献的需要,又能成为政府评估和预测经济走势、合理制定长期经济政策的重要依据。

Capital Accumulation, Technical Change and Aggregate Production Function: A Study Based on Empirical Data from China between 1980 and 2005

Aggregate Production Function is a very important problem in research economy growth. In this paper, the capital stock of China is estimated. By studying technology change of different years, we can depart the change of Aggregate Production Function and movement along the Aggregate Production Function. So we can get a more veracious Aggregate Production Function. The conformation of capital stock, technology change and Aggregate Production Function will be important reference for government to make economy decisions.