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山东省生猪价格波动研究
引用本文:赵守军,赵瑞莹.山东省生猪价格波动研究[J].科技和产业,2012,12(5):69-73.
作者姓名:赵守军  赵瑞莹
作者单位:山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东泰安,271018
基金项目:山东省现代农业产业技术体系建设生猪产业经济岗位专项资金资助
摘    要:近年来,由于国内外经济环境的日益复杂,生猪价格波动也变得更加难以控制。本文选取山东省2000—2011年生猪月度价格,首先运用HP滤波法对生猪价格波动划分了三个周期;然后分别从生猪生产成本、生产方式和生产者预期三方面分析了山东省生猪价格波动的影响因素,最后结合山东省生猪价格波动规律和影响因素提出了稳定生猪价格波动的对策建议。

关 键 词:生猪价格  波动周期  影响因素  对策建议

Study on the Pig Price Fluctuations in Shandong Province
ZHAO Shou-jun,ZHAO Rui-ying.Study on the Pig Price Fluctuations in Shandong Province[J].SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRIAL,2012,12(5):69-73.
Authors:ZHAO Shou-jun  ZHAO Rui-ying
Institution:(School of Economy and Management,Shandong Agricultural University,Taian Shandong 271018,China)
Abstract:In recent years,due to the increasingly complex economic environment at home and abroad,the live pig price fluctuation is also becoming more difficult to control.Selecting the monthly price of live pig from 2000 to 2011,The paper is firstly dividing into three fluctuation circles by using the HP method,then analyses live pig price influencing factors from the live pig production costs,mode of production and the producer’s expectation,finally The suggestions for stabilizing the live pig price are given unifies the Shandong province live pig price fluctuation and influence factors.
Keywords:pig prices  fluctuation cycle  influencing factors  suggestions
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