技术选择与经济增长的关系研究——以浙江省为例

首先综述国内外技术选择与经济增长关系研究的相关文献,然后利用1978-2010年的样本区间数据,在VAR模型的基础上,运用Johansen协整检验方法,发现浙江省的技术选择与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,改革开放之后浙江省进行了适宜的技术选择,快速促进了经济增长。本文随后又进行了Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析,得出短期内浙江省技术选择对经济增长的影响方向和程度的结论。

Empirical Research on Technology Choice promoting Economic Growth of Zhejiang Province

This paper firstly summarizes the domestic and international relevant literatures of technology choice and economic growth,based on the VAR model then find that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between Zhejiang province’s technology choice and economic growth using Johansen cointegration test method by sample data from year 1978 to 2010.After the reform and opening up,Zhejiang province selected the suitable technology choice which rapidly promoting its economic growth.This paper also concludes short-term impact of technology choice to Zhejiang province’s economic growth by the Granger causality test,impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis.