| 中国贸易自由化及其对粮食安全的影响——一个基于中国农业CGE模型的应用分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 樊明太,郑玉歆,齐舒畅,陈杰. 中国贸易自由化及其对粮食安全的影响——一个基于中国农业CGE模型的应用分析[J]. 农业经济问题, 2005, 0(Z1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 樊明太 郑玉歆 齐舒畅 陈杰 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所 [2]国家统计局国民经济核算司 [3]北京 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用中国农业CGE模型,就中国在WTO“后过渡期”进一步的贸易自由化对经济和粮食安全的影响进行了模拟和分析。基本的结论是:中国的贸易自由化会对粮食安全产生一定的冲击,引致粮食自给率下降;但这种影响要在现实中显形化需要一定的条件。
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| 关 键 词： | 贸易自由化 CGE模型 粮食安全 |
China's Scheduled Trade Liberalization and the Impact on Food Security |
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| FAN Mingtai et al. China's Scheduled Trade Liberalization and the Impact on Food Security[J]. Problems of Agricultural Economy, 2005, 0(Z1) |
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| Authors: | FAN Mingtai et al |
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| Affiliation: | FAN Mingtai et al |
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| Abstract: | An agricultural computable general equilibrium model is employed to simulate the impact of scheduled trade liberalization for China in the post-WTO transition period.This study shows that the scheduled trade liberalization in the post-WTO transition period would have the self-sufficiency rate for food reduced;however,this reduction can't be taken as granted. |
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| Keywords: | Trade liberalization CGE model Food security |
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