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Nonlinear continuous time modeling approaches in panel research
Authors:Hermann Singer
Institution:Lehrstuhl für angewandte Statistik und Methoden der empirischen Sozialforschung, D-58084 Hagen, Germany
Abstract:Stochastic differential equations (SDE) are used as dynamical models for cross-sectional discrete time measurements (panel data). Thus causal effects are formulated on a fundamental infinitesimal time scale. Cumulated causal effects over the measurement interval can be expressed in terms of fundamental effects which are independent of the chosen sampling intervals (e.g. weekly, monthly, annually). The nonlinear continuous–discrete filter is the key tool in deriving a recursive sequence of time and measurement updates. Several approximation methods including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), higher order nonlinear filters (HNF), the local linearization filter (LLF), the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), the Gauss–Hermite filter (GHF) and generalizations (GGHF), as well as simulated filters (functional integral filter FIF) are compared.
Keywords:Itô calculus  sampling  continuous–discrete state-space models  nonlinear Kalman filtering  Hermite orthogonal expansion  numerical integration  Monte Carlo simulation  
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