| 蓝色经济区碳排放对经济增长的阈值协整效应 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐胜,司登奎.蓝色经济区碳排放对经济增长的阈值协整效应[J].技术经济,2013,32(9):106-110,130. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐胜 司登奎 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 对外经济贸易大学金融学院,北京100029;中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100
2. 中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛,266100 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学研究项目"海洋经济低碳化路径选择与测评研究"(10JYC790312)"，国家海洋软科学项目"海洋产业低碳化路径及对策研究" |
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| 摘 要： | 构建了碳排放与经济增长及其相关影响因素的阈值协整模型,利用完全修正的最小二乘法对该模型进行估计。得出如下主要结论:碳排放随着经济增长周期的发展表现出非线性变化特征;蓝色经济区的碳排放对经济增长的阈值协整效应发生在人均GDP增长率为9.54%和13.46%之处;从产业结构和能源使用效率对碳排放的阈值效应可看出蓝色经济区正在走产业升级和转型之路,因此需要注重培育高新产业发展环境。
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| 关 键 词： | 碳排放 经济增长 阈值协整 |
Threshold Cointegration Effect of Carbon Emission on Economic Growth in Blue Economic Zone |
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| Xu Sheng
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Si Dengkui.Threshold Cointegration Effect of Carbon Emission on Economic Growth in Blue Economic Zone[J].Technology Economics,2013,32(9):106-110,130. |
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| Authors: | Xu Sheng Si Dengkui |
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| Institution: | Xu Sheng;Si Dengkui(School of Banking and Finance, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China;School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Qingdao Shandong 266100, China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper constructs the threshold cointegration model to analyze the relationship between carbon emission and economic growth as well as its related factors,and uses the modified least square method to estimate this model.The main conclusions are as follows：with the development of economic growth cycle,carbon emission shows the characteristic of nonlinear change;the threshold cointegration effect of carbon emission on economic growth in blue economic zone appears in the points that per capita GDP growth rate is 9.54％ and 13.46％ ;according to the threshold effects of industrial structure and energy efficiency on carbon emission,it could be seen that blue economic zone is on the road of industrial upgrading and transformation.Therefore,the cultivation of development environment for high-tech industry should be paid attention to. |
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| Keywords: | carbon emission economic growth threshold cointegration |
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