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Interdisciplinary policy analysis in economic forecasting
Authors:Burt Nanus
Institution:Associate Professor of Management and Director of the Center for Futures Research in the Graduate School of Business Administration of the University of Southern California USA
Abstract:Economic policy formulation suffers from many ills, not the least of which is a basic inadequacy in the methods of long-range economic forecasting. This article discusses the need for a longer time perspective in economic policy and the shortcomings of current methods in regard to philosophical assumptions, theoretical limitations, economic modeling problems, and institutional issues. Interdisciplinary policy modeling is suggested as a partial solution to these shortcomings, and two examples are offered—one in regional policy simulation and other in world food-supply modeling.
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