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Bootstrap methods for autocorrelation test with uncorrelated but not independent errors
Authors:Panagiotis Mantalos  Ghazi Shukur  
Affiliation:aDepartment of Statistics, Lund University, Sweden;bDepartment of Economics and Statistics, Jönköping University, Sweden;cCenter for labour market policy research (CAFO) Department of Economics and Statistics, Växjö University, Sweden
Abstract:By using bootstrap technique we investigate the properties of the Breusch [Breusch, T.S., 1978. Testing for autocorrelation in dynamic linear models. Australian Economic Papers 17, 334–355]–Godfrey [Godfrey, L.G., 1978. Testing for higher order serial correlation in regression equations when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica 46, 1303–1310] autocorrelation tests in dynamic models with uncorrelated but not independent errors. In this paper we show that, under conditions when the errors are uncorrelated but not independent, even the best likelihood ratio test cannot achieve the asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of no autocorrelation. Standard bootstrap methods also fail to produce consistent results. To overcome this problem we applied several bootstrap testing methods for the same purpose and found the stationary bootstrap and Wild bootstrap with static model to perform adequately among the other bootstrap methods.
Keywords:Autocorrelation   Bootstrap   Dynamic models   Test for autocorrelation
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