| 江苏省专利产出与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于技术经济学的时间序列分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 殷青伟,翁磊.江苏省专利产出与经济增长关系的实证研究——基于技术经济学的时间序列分析[J].科技进步与对策,2011,28(15):36-39. |
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| 作者姓名： | 殷青伟 翁磊 |
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| 作者单位： | 天津大学管理学院;河北省安装工程公司六分公司;中国科学技术大学管理学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 基于技术经济学的理论模型,运用单位根检验,协整分析和格兰杰因果检验方法,对江苏省专利产出与经济增长进行了实证研究,以1985—2010的江苏省统计年鉴为数据基础,发现两者存在长期均衡关系和格兰杰因果关系,并建立了动态互动的关系,研究结论可以为江苏省制定和实施"十二五"科技发展规划提供参考,也为其它省市地区依靠科技发展促进经济增长,提供宝贵的经验和明确的标杆。
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| 关 键 词： | 专利产出 经济增长 协整分析 “十二五”规划 江苏省 |
Empirical Research between Patent Output and Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province Based on Time Series Analysis |
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| Yin Qingwei,Weng Lei.Empirical Research between Patent Output and Economic Growth of Jiangsu Province Based on Time Series Analysis[J].Science & Technology Progress and Policy,2011,28(15):36-39. |
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| Authors: | Yin Qingwei Weng Lei |
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| Institution: | Yin Qingwei1,3,Weng Lei2(1.School of Management,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China,2.School of Management,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,3.Six Branch,Hebei Installation Engineering Company,Shijiazhuang 050031,China) |
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| Abstract: | Employing methods of ADF unit root test,co-integration analysis and Granger causal analysis of dynamics econometrics,and using Jiangsu province data of the patent output and economic growth of capital region in 1985-2009,the dynamic econometric relationship between the patent output and economic growth of capital Jiangsu region is analyzed.The results show that economic growth is the Granger causality of the patent output and the patent output promotes the economic growth effectively and a alternating feedb... |
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| Keywords: | Patent Output Economic Growth Co-integration Analysis Twelfth Five-Year Plan Jiangsu Province |
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