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Unveiling covariate inclusion structures in economic growth regressions using latent class analysis
Institution:1. Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria;2. Research Institute for Regulatory Economics, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Welthandelsplatz 1, 1020 Vienna, Austria;3. WIK-Consult GmbH, Rhöndorfer Str. 68, 53604 Bad Honnef, Germany;1. Charles University, Prague and University of Ss. Cyril and Methodius in Trnava, Slovakia;2. Central Bank of Hungary, Vienna University of Economics and Business and Masaryk University, Brno;3. National Bank of Slovakia, Charles University, Prague and Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria;4. Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria
Abstract:We propose the use of Latent Class Analysis methods to analyze the covariate inclusion patterns across specifications resulting from Bayesian model averaging exercises. Using Dirichlet Process clustering, we are able to identify and describe dependency structures among variables in terms of inclusion in the specifications that compose the model space. We apply the method to two datasets of potential determinants of economic growth. Clustering the posterior covariate inclusion structure of the model space formed by linear regression models reveals interesting patterns of complementarity and substitutability across economic growth determinants.
Keywords:Economic growth determinants  Bayesian model averaging  Latent class analysis  Dirichlet processes
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