Effects of a mileage tax for trucks |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Economics, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204, USA;2. Department of Management and Marketing, Texas A&M, Prairie View, TX 77446, USA;3. Department of Economics, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS 1TN, United Kingdom;1. Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW), Mohrenstr. 58, Berlin 10117, Germany;2. Norwegian Business School (BI), Nydalsveien 37, Oslo N-0442, Norway;3. Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB), Pleinlaan 2, Brussels B-1050, Belgium;1. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045, United States;2. Columbia University, 525 W. 120th Street, New York, NY 10027, United States;3. Independent Budget Office, United States;1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 20th & C Street, NW, Mail Stop 153, Washington, DC 20551, United States;2. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, 1700 G Street, NW, Washington, DC 20552, United States;1. Department of Economics, Marquette University, P.O. Box 1881, Milwaukee, WI 53201, United States\n;2. Department of Economics, Texas Christian University, 2855 Main Drive, Fort Worth, TX 76129, United States\n;3. Department of Economics, Georgia State University, P.O. Box 3992, Atlanta, GA30302, United States\n |
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| Abstract: | We evaluate the effect of the introduction of a mileage tax for trucks in Switzerland in 2001 on traffic volume and externalities. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find a reduction in overall truck traffic of around 4–6%, no effects on car traffic and time-shifted placebos, suggestive evidence for traffic substitution toward rail, and negative effects on nitrogen oxides at curbside monitors. Complementary estimates on the effects of the German mileage tax and complementary estimates based on the synthetic control method are broadly consistent with our main results, although the latter are not statistically significant. Depending on prevailing levels of transportation costs, mileage tax-induced transportation cost increases may accelerate or reverse spatial economic concentration processes. Such implications for economic geography featured prominently in Switzerland and are a promising area for future research. |
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| Keywords: | Mileage tax Heavy vehicle fee Regression discontinuity design Synthetic control method |
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