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Instability in the cobweb model under the BNN dynamic
Authors:George A Waters
Institution:Department of Economics, Campus Box 4200, Illinois State University, Normal, IL 61761-4200
Abstract:The cobweb model where firms choose between rational and naive forecasting strategies has a 2-cycle when the slope of supply is greater than the slope of demand for a number of different dynamics describing the evolution of strategy choices. This paper proves that the 2-cycle is exponentially unstable under the learning dynamic of Brown et al. (1950). Issues arising in the analysis of piecewise smooth discrete time maps are discussed.
Keywords:C62  C73  D83  D84
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