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对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析--以辽宁省为例
引用本文:韦邦荣,杨玉生. 对外贸易与经济增长关系的协整分析--以辽宁省为例[J]. 石家庄经济学院学报, 2006, 29(2): 212-216
作者姓名:韦邦荣  杨玉生
作者单位:1. 安徽大学,经济学院,安徽,合肥,230039
2. 辽宁大学,经济学院,辽宁,沈阳,110036
摘    要:利用协整理论与Granger因果关系检验方法,分析辽宁省对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系.研究表明,辽宁省的出口与经济增长之间、进出口总量与经济增长之间以及进口、出口和经济增长三者之间存在着长期均衡关系,出口、进口、进出口总量和经济增长之间存在单向的因果关系.因此,辽宁省的经济增长仍是出口导向型的,应在加大出口的同时,重视进口的作用.

关 键 词:对外贸易  经济增长  单位根检验  协整  Granger因果关系检验
文章编号:1007-6875(2006)02-0212-05
收稿时间:2005-12-20
修稿时间:2005-12-20

An Empirical Study on the Relationship between External Trade and Economic Growth--take Liaoning province as an example
WEI Bang-rong,YANG Yu-sheng. An Empirical Study on the Relationship between External Trade and Economic Growth--take Liaoning province as an example[J]. Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics, 2006, 29(2): 212-216
Authors:WEI Bang-rong  YANG Yu-sheng
Affiliation:1. Anhui University, Hefei, Anhui 230039 ; 2. Liaoning University, Shenyang, Liaoning 110036
Abstract:The relationship between external trade and economic growth in Liaoning is analyzed by applying co-integration analytical tools and Granger causality test.The study indicates that the relationship among the export,import and GDP keeps steady,and there is only single-direction Granger causality existed between export and GDP or import and GDP or TOT(total of export and import) and GDP.Economic growth in Liaoning is an export-oriented growth.Therefore,the export must be strengthened,at the same time,import trade should not be ignored.
Keywords:external trade   economic growth   unit root test    co-integration   Granger causality
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