Real exchange rate changes as a cause of protectionism

Summary In this article, the various ways in which a real appreciation of the exchange rate can induce an increase in the overall or sector-specific level of protection are surveyed. In a normative framework, a real appreciation can justify temporary government interference, including trade policy, aimed at protecting (part of) the traded-goods sector. In addition, a positive approach of political decision-making on protection has been applied in order to explain actual government behaviour. After a real appreciation the balance of influence between the interest groups involved will change in such a way that an increase in the level of protection results.This paper is part of the research project Exchange-rate policy and monetary policy in international dependence. I am indebted to the participants in that project, and especially to Henk Jager and Eelke de Jong, for their comments on an earlier version of this paper.