The impact of technological opportunity on the dynamics of trade performance |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China;2. State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China;3. Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing 100191, China;4. National Center for Chronic and Non communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China;5. Shanghai National Clinical Research Center for Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Shanghai Institute of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China;6. National Institute for Nutrition and Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China;1. Department of Physics, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon 440-746, Republic of Korea;2. Department of Physics, Pukyong National University, Busan 608-737, Republic of Korea |
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| Abstract: | The paper examines statistically whether the degree to which countries are specialised in and/or increasingly move into sectors with above average levels of technological opportunity has any impact on growth in aggregate market shares of exports. A novelty of the paper is that it applies structural decomposition (SD) analysis not only on trade statistics, but also on US patent statistics. Nineteen countries and 17 manufacturing sectors for the period 1965–1988 are considered. A number of variables, in addition to the effects from the SD analysis, are included as explanatory variables. In this context, it is shown that there is a positive relationship between trade performance and the individual country’s ability to move into technological sectors offering above average technological opportunity. |
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