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商业信用评级模型的构建与优化 ——P公司案例研究
引用本文:殷建红,杜亚怀,张瑞君.商业信用评级模型的构建与优化 ——P公司案例研究[J].经济理论与经济管理,2014,34(8):89.
作者姓名:殷建红  杜亚怀  张瑞君
作者单位:1中国人民大学商学院,北京100872;2中国石油天然气集团公司,北京100007
基金项目:国家高技术“863”计划项目(2012AA040904)
摘    要:赊销带来的商业信用违约现象长期影响着中国企业的资金链,导致企业承担居高不下的坏账成本。本文从客户信用评级入手,以P公司商业信用管理为案例,研究信用评级模型的构建与优化。研究结果表明,信用评级需要综合考虑客户的财务因素和非财务因素、定量因素与定性因素,同时,运用统计方法(多元排序选择模型)可以有效优化信用评级模型,能改善评级预测准确性,能为评级指标的选取与权重设计等提供重要参考依据。

关 键 词:商业信用  信用风险  信用评级  多元排序选择模型
收稿时间:2014-05-24

THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPTIMIZATION OF TRADE CREDIT RATING MODEL ——A Case Study of P Company
YIN Jian-Hong,DU Ya-Huai,ZHANG Rui-Jun.THE CONSTRUCTION AND OPTIMIZATION OF TRADE CREDIT RATING MODEL ——A Case Study of P Company[J].Economic Theory and Business Management,2014,34(8):89.
Authors:YIN Jian-Hong  DU Ya-Huai  ZHANG Rui-Jun
Institution:1School of Business,Renmin University of China,Beijing 1000872,China; 2China National Petroleum Corporation,Beijing 100007,China
Abstract:Trade credit damaged the Chinese enterprise capital chain and increased the cost of bad debts for a long timeThis paper studied how to construct and optimize the trade credit rating model based on a case study of P companyThis paper found that the combined use of financial and non financial factors in the model led to a more valuable prediction of credit ratingIn addition,this paper illustrated that the ordered multivariable discrete choice model would improve the model simplicity and model accuracy
Keywords:trade credit                                                                                                                         credit risk                                                                                                                         credit rating                                                                                                                         ordered discrete choice model
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