利益分配、战略行动与集体选择的不确定性

爱因斯坦说,时间是一种错觉;普利高津则说,确定性是一种错觉。而文章认为,均衡也是一种错觉:集体选择的结果存在内生的不确定性。基于个体战略行动的多样性,文章从利益分配的角度对集体选择的不确定性作出了理论上的证明。认识到集体选择的不确定性特征对于理解社会的运行以及设计与社会控制相关的制度规章都具有重要的意义。

Interest Distribution, Strategy Action and the Uncertainty of Collective Choice

Einstein and Prigogine said respectively that time and certainty is a kind of illusion.In my opinion,equilibrium is also a kind of illusion,namely,endogenous uncertainty is the natural character of the collective choice.Based on the diversity of individual strategy actions,this paper gives a theoretical proof on the hypothesis of uncertainty.Recognition about the uncertainty does benefit to the understanding of the proceeding of society and the related design of institutions for the social control.