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金融发展、技术创新与对外贸易产业升级——基于空间计量的实证研究
引用本文:周永涛,钱水土.金融发展、技术创新与对外贸易产业升级——基于空间计量的实证研究[J].国际经贸探索,2012(4):90-102.
作者姓名:周永涛  钱水土
作者单位:浙江工商大学
基金项目:教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”(NCET100978);浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(Y6090644);浙江工商大学现代商贸中心课题(11JDSM01Z);浙江省高校人文社科重点研究基地(金融学)和浙江省重点创新团队(生产性服务业与区域经济发展研究)的资助
摘    要:内生经济增长理论认为,金融发展对技术创新和对外贸易产业升级均具有十分重要的作用。文章利用省际数据,引入空间回归方法估计了金融发展对技术创新水平的影响;再进一步控制技术创新水平,加入空间依赖性来估计金融发展对对外贸易产业升级的促进作用。实证研究表明银行信贷与技术创新和对外贸易产业升级均具有显著的正向关系;股票市场仅与对外贸易产业升级有着显著的正向关系;保险市场并没有表现出对技术创新和对外贸易产业升级的促进作用。

关 键 词:金融发展  技术创新  对外贸易产业升级  空间计量

Financial Development,Technology Innovation and Foreign Trade Industrial Upgrading:An Empirical Study of Spatial Econometric
ZHOU Yong-tao,QIAN Shui-tu.Financial Development,Technology Innovation and Foreign Trade Industrial Upgrading:An Empirical Study of Spatial Econometric[J].International Economics and Trade Research,2012(4):90-102.
Authors:ZHOU Yong-tao  QIAN Shui-tu
Institution:(Zhejiang University of Commerce,Hangzhou 310018,China)
Abstract:Endogenous growth theory indicates that financial development leads to greater innovation and foreign trade industrial upgrading.Using the Chinese provincial data,this study estimates the effect of financial development on technology innovation based on spatial regression models,especifically spatial lag model and spatial error model.Furthermore,after controlling the technology innovation level,it estimates the effect of financial development on foreign trade industrial upgrading.The main findings are that: bank credit has a significantly positive relationship with both technology innovation and foreign trade industry upgrading;stock market is only positively related to foreign trade industry upgrading;insurance market does not play a promoting role on technology innovation and foreign trade industry upgrading.
Keywords:financial development  technology innovation  foreign trade industrial upgrading  spatial econometric
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