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The dynamic relationship among the money market mutual funds,the commercial paper market,and the repo market
Authors:Majid Haghani Rizi  Hardik A. Marfatia
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, Bolton Hall 835, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA;2. Department of Economics, BBH 344G, Northeastern Illinois University, Chicago, IL, USA
Abstract:In this paper, we present the short-run and the long-run relationships among the financial assets of the money market funds, the commercial paper market, and the repurchase agreement market by undertaking a cointegration analysis of quarterly data over the 1985–2017 period. This was based on the empirical observation that the commercial paper and repo markets account for 50 percent of the assets of money market funds. The evidence suggests that there exists a common long-term cointegrating trend among these three components of the shadow banking system. Any disequilibrium in this long-run relationship among these variables is corrected by movement in the financial assets of money market funds. The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition from the estimated cointegrating relationship shows that the cyclical component of money market funds is large and captures huge swings in these markets during the financial crisis. We also find evidence of change in these dynamic relationships in the post-crisis period, where in addition to the money market funds, the commercial paper market also exhibits a tendency to correct for the disequilbrium.
Keywords:Shadow banking  money market fund  commercial paper  repurchase agreement  trend-cycle decomposition  cointegration
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