基于权利分布风险测度的工程建设重大突发事件大群体应急决策方法

针对大型工程项目突发事件应急决策参与者权利分布导致的风险，提出了一种大群体风险应急决策方法。首先，利用信息熵理论，提出了一种测量大群体决策风险的测度模型；其次，对参与决策的大群体在决策过程中由于权利分布引起的风险进行了定量计算；然后，利用风险大小确定最终偏好信息的集结结果，对应急方案进行排序选优。最后，通过工程项目建设中仓库爆炸突发事件案例分析，验证了该方法的有效性。

Large Group Emergency Decision Method of Major Emergencies for Engineering Construction Based on Right Distribution Risk Measure

Aiming at the risk caused by the distribution of rights of decision-making participants of large engineering project, a large group risk emergency decision-making method is proposed. Firstly, a measure model for measuring the risk of large group decision-making is proposed by using information entropy theory. Secondly, the risk, which is derived from the distribution of rights when participating in the decision-making process, is quantitatively calculated. Then, the risk preference is used to determine the final preference information assembly. As a result, the emergency schemes are sorted accordingly. Finally, a case of warehouse explosion incident in construction project illustrates the effectiveness of the method.