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Testing multivariate distributions in GARCH models
Authors:Jushan Bai  Zhihong Chen
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, New York University, 19 West 4th Street, New York, NY 10012, USA;2. School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China;3. School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, 100029 Beijing, China
Abstract:In this paper, we consider testing distributional assumptions in multivariate GARCH models based on empirical processes. Using the fact that joint distribution carries the same amount of information as the marginal together with conditional distributions, we first transform the multivariate data into univariate independent data based on the marginal and conditional cumulative distribution functions. We then apply the Khmaladze's martingale transformation (K-transformation) to the empirical process in the presence of estimated parameters. The K-transformation eliminates the effect of parameter estimation, allowing a distribution-free test statistic to be constructed. We show that the K-transformation takes a very simple form for testing multivariate normal and multivariate t-distributions. The procedure is applied to a multivariate financial time series data set.
Keywords:C12   C14   C15
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