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湖北省新能源汽车产业效益优化仿真研究
引用本文:叶姗,夏雅雯,季喆喆,杨丹庆.湖北省新能源汽车产业效益优化仿真研究[J].科技和产业,2023,23(9):36-42.
作者姓名:叶姗  夏雅雯  季喆喆  杨丹庆
作者单位:江汉大学 商学院, 武汉 430056;江汉大学 人工智能学院, 武汉 430056
摘    要:“双碳”背景下,新能源汽车产业成为湖北汽车产业转型升级改革创新的新机遇。通过对湖北省新能源汽车市场存量进行仿真分析,发现湖北省新能源汽车存量呈现上升趋势,2028年其购买意愿超过传统燃油汽车购买意愿,未来将成为湖北省汽车市场主流。在此基础上,对湖北省新能源汽车产业效益进行仿真分析,发现消费者环境效益的负面作用是对环境产生负面影响的主要原因,生产企业经济效益是综合效益减少的主要影响因素。

关 键 词:新能源汽车  系统动力学  市场存量  产业效益

Simulation Research on Efficiency Optimization of New Energy Vehicle Industry in Hubei Province
Abstract:Under the background of " carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals", the new energy vehicle industry has become a new opportunity for the automobile industry transformation, upgrading, reform and innovation of Hubei Province. Through the simulation analysis of the market stock of new energy vehicles in Hubei province, it is found that the scale of new energy vehicles in Hubei Province presents an increasing trend. In 2028, the purchase intention of new energy vehicles will exceed the purchase intention of traditional fuel vehicles, and it will become the mainstream of the automobile market in Hubei Province in the future. On this basis, the simulation analysis of the benefits of the new energy vehicle industry in Hubei Province shows that the negative effect of consumer environmental benefits is the main reason for the negative impact on the environment, and the economic benefit of production enterprises is the main influencing factor for the reduction of comprehensive benefits.
Keywords:new energy vehicles  system dynamics  market scale  benefits of industry
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