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安徽省城镇居民收入与消费结构的关联分析
引用本文:晋宗义.安徽省城镇居民收入与消费结构的关联分析[J].价值工程,2009,28(7):131-134.
作者姓名:晋宗义
作者单位:安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,蚌埠,233041
摘    要:采用灰色关联分析方法对安徽省2001~2006年间城镇居民收入和消费结构的关系进行了量化分析,得出了收入对各项消费支出的影响程度,从大到小依次是:居住、衣着、食品、文教娱乐、交通通讯、其他商品、医疗保健、家庭设备用品及服务。又运用灰色预测方法对2007~2011年间的收入水平和各项消费支出进行了预测,并且对预测值进行了灰色关联分析,得出了收入对各项消费支出的影响程度,从大到小依次是:医疗保健、衣着、交通通讯、食品、居住、文教娱乐、家庭设备、其他商品及服务。最后,针对消费结构的升级提出建议。

关 键 词:收入  消费结构  关联分析  灰色预测

To Analyse on Correlation of Income and Consumption Structure for the Anhui Urban Residents
Jin Zongyi.To Analyse on Correlation of Income and Consumption Structure for the Anhui Urban Residents[J].Value Engineering,2009,28(7):131-134.
Authors:Jin Zongyi
Institution:Jin Zongyi(School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233041, China)
Abstract:Grey correlation analysis of the anhui between 2001-2006 for urban residents income and consumption structure,the quantitative analysis shows that income on the extent of the impact of consumer spending, from big to small: housing, clothing, food, educational supplies and entertainment services, transportation and communication ,other goods and services,health care ,household appliances and services. Grey forecasting methods and the use of 2007-2011 between the various levels of income and consumption expenditures were forecasted and the forecast is a grey correlation analysis shows that income on the extent of the impact of consumer spending,from big to small:health care expenses, clothing, transportation and communication,food,housing,educational and recreational supplies, household appliances and services, other goods and services.This shows that, over the forecast period as revenue growth,the central region of urban resident's living consumption structure also will be continuously optimized. Finally,put forward proposals of the optimization and upgrading of the consumption structure.
Keywords:income  consumption structure  analysis of correlation  grey forecast
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