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Credit default swaps and stock prices: Further evidence of mean and volatility transmission using a GARCH-M model
摘    要:This paper empirically investigates the association between the stock market and the credit default swap (CDS) market in terms of mean and volatility spillovers. The analysis uses daily observations from four stock markets and two European CDS indices, along with the error correction (EC) methodology and the generalized heteroskedasticity in mean (GARCH-M) modelling. The authors find that stock returns across European and US markets are negatively related to European CDS spread changes, that the CDS market seems to lead the stock market (implying that information contents coming from the firm's environment impacts first on the CDS market and then on the stock market), and that CDS spreads volatility has a positive impact on stock market returns, both in mean and in volatility.

关 键 词:GARCH模型  波动传播  股票价格  平均  违约  欧洲市场  证据  信用
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