Valuation effects and the dynamics of net external assets |
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Authors: | Michael B Devereux Alan Sutherland |
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Institution: | a Department of Economics, University of British Columbia, 997-1873 East Mall, Vancouver, B.C. Canada V6T 1Z1 b NBER, United States c CEPR, UK d School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, Fife, KY16 9AL, UK |
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Abstract: | ‘Valuation effects’ can imply that the traditional current account is an inaccurate measure of the change in the net foreign asset (NFA) position. This paper uses new developments in the analysis of portfolio choice in general equilibrium to investigate valuation effects in a two-country model. Broadly speaking, the valuation effects in the model correspond to those observed in the data. But there is a key distinction between ‘unanticipated’ and ‘anticipated’ valuation effects. Unanticipated effects can be large, dominating the movement in NFA, but anticipated effects arise only at higher orders of approximation and are small for reasonable parameterizations. |
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Keywords: | F41 F32 F37 |
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