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我国上市公司财务困境预测模型分析——基于我国A股上市公司研究
引用本文:陈华越,周勇男. 我国上市公司财务困境预测模型分析——基于我国A股上市公司研究[J]. 商业经济(哈尔滨), 2007, 0(8): 16-18
作者姓名:陈华越  周勇男
作者单位:番禺职业技术学院,Asiapulpandpaper 广州番禺511483
摘    要:基于我国A股市场上市的ST公司和相对应的非ST公司,用Logistic回归的进入法和逐步法对上市公司财务困境预测模型进行了比较分析,得出结论:无论是模型的有效性,还是模型的判断准确率方面,Logistic回归的进入法均优于逐步法。

关 键 词:财务困境预测模型  Logistic回归进入法  Logistic回归逐步法
文章编号:1009-6043(2007)08-0016-03
收稿时间:2007-05-17

An Analysis on Model Predicting Financial Distress of Our Listed Companies-Based on Research on A-share Listed Companies
CHE-Huayue,ZHOU-Yongnan. An Analysis on Model Predicting Financial Distress of Our Listed Companies-Based on Research on A-share Listed Companies[J]. Business Economy, 2007, 0(8): 16-18
Authors:CHE-Huayue  ZHOU-Yongnan
Abstract:Based on the contrast between listed ST company of A-share market and its counterpart-non-ST company in our country,this paper contrasts and analyzes the Model Predicting Financial Distress of listed companies by enter and stepwise methods of Logistic Regression and draws a conclusion that,no matter efficiency or accuracy in judgment,the enter method of Logistic Regression is better than stepwise method of it.
Keywords:Model Predicting Financial Distress  enter method of Logistic Regression  stepwise method of Logistic Regression
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