Spurious regressions with stationary series |
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| Authors: | Clive W J Granger IV Namwon Hyung Yongil Jeon |
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| Institution: | Research Department, Senior Economist , Central Bank of Jordon , Amman 11118, Jordon |
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| Abstract: | A spurious regression occurs when a pair of independent series, but with strong temporal properties, are found apparently to be related according to standard inference in an OLS regression. Although this is well known to occur with pairs of independent unit root processes, this paper finds evidence that similar results are found with positively autocorrelated autoregressive series or long moving averages. This occurs regardless of the sample size and for various distributions of the error terms. |
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