| 近期债券市场基本面分析与展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 张艳红,张丽洁. 近期债券市场基本面分析与展望[J]. 中国货币市场, 2008, 0(2): 44-45 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张艳红 张丽洁 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]中国人保资产管理股份有限公司固定收益投资部 [2]海富通基金管理有限公司基金经理 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文认为，外需放缓导致国内经济增速放缓，年内通货膨胀将呈前高后低走势，1季度将成为通胀高点，加息概率依然较大，短期内债券市场将维持当前的震荡格局，但仍不失资金配置良机，相对而言，长期国债，短期融资券的投资价值较大。
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| 关 键 词： | 货币政策 CPI 期限利差 |
Recent bond market:Fundamental analysis and outlook |
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| Zhang Yanhong Fixed Income Department,PICC Asset Management Company Limited Zhang Lijie Fund Manager,Fortis Haitong Investment Management Co,Ltd. Recent bond market:Fundamental analysis and outlook[J]. China Money, 2008, 0(2): 44-45 |
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| Authors: | Zhang Yanhong Fixed Income Department PICC Asset Management Company Limited Zhang Lijie Fund Manager Fortis Haitong Investment Management Co Ltd |
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| Affiliation: | Zhang Yanhong, Fixed Income Department, PICC Asset Management Company Limited Zhang Lijie, Fund Manager, Fortis Haitong Investment Management Co. Ltd |
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| Abstract: | According to this article,weaker external demand may slow down China's economic growth, and inflation will rise before slipping back in 2008.The first quarter will see a peak of inflationary pressures,thus increasing the chances of interest rate hikes.In the short run, China's bond market will maintain its current swings,but the time is still right to re-allocate funds.Long-term treasury notes and short-term financing bills are comparatively better choices for investment. |
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| Keywords: | monetary policy CPI interest-rate differential between maturities |
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