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Differences of opinion and selection bias in the credit rating industry
Institution:1. School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, Guangdong 510632, China;2. The Global Centre for Banking and Financial Innovation, Nottingham University Business School, University of Nottingham, Jubilee Campus, Nottingham NG8 1BB, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland;3. Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business (OYAGSB), University Utara Malaysia, UUM Sintok, Kedah, Malaysia;4. School of Law, Social and Behavioural Sciences, Kingston University, Penryhn Road, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey KT1 2EE, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland;1. Xiamen National Accounting Institute, Island-Coast Express No. 4001, Siming District, Xiamen, Fujian, 361005, PR China;2. SILC Business School, Shanghai University, Room 408, Wenshang Building, No 20, Chengzhong Road, Jiading District, Shanghai, 201899, PR China;1. Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ 08854, USA;2. Columbia Business School, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027, USA;3. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Washington, DC 20551, USA
Abstract:Many regulations use private sector credit ratings to determine investment prohibitions and capital requirements for institutional portfolio investments. These regulations implicitly assume that different agencies have equivalent rating scales, despite the fact that some agencies assign systematically higher ratings than others. We assess the appropriateness of these regulatory practices by testing whether observed rating differences reflect different rating scales or simply result from sample selection bias. Our analysis reveals only limited evidence of selection bias. We also ask what types of firms of firms are most likely to seek ratings from the agencies with higher rating scales. Our analysis uncovers no evidence that firms seek ratings from these agencies to clear specific regulatory hurdles or to reduce ex ante uncertainty about default risk.
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