对我国区际经济与金融差距关联性的实证分析

各区域间金融发展的差异对经济发展差距有无影响以及影响机制如何成为经济学研究的一项任务。以塞尔指标衡量我国经济与金融发展差距,发现我国区域间经济发展差距与金融发展差距呈现一致的变动关系,且金融差距大于经济差距。由此引出的基本判断是我国区际经济差距的逻辑原因有金融因素,进而采用格兰杰因果关系检验判断我国省际金融发展与经济增长间的关系,从中可以明确我国东部地区金融成长偏重于内生状态,而中西部地区更倾向于外生状态。考虑到改革的总体方向,并借鉴东部地区的经验,放松金融抑制、催化内生金融成长无疑是全面促进中西部经济发展的必然选择。

An Empirical Analysis on the Correlativity of Regional Economic Disparity and Financial Disparity

Now, what and how differences of regional financial development affect economic growth gap become one issue of economics studies. We measure Chinese economy growth gap and financial development gap with the Theil index, discover that the gap of economic development and financial development present unanimous Variation, and financial disparity is greater than economic disparity. Therefore the basic judgment is that the financial factors is one of logical reasons of the economic disparity. Adopting Granger test to judge the relation between economy and finance of provinces in our country, we can find that the finance in the east grows up endogenously, and the middle and west regions are inclined to be exdogenous. Considering the direction of reformation, drawing experience in the east, it is necessary choice to loose finance restraint and catalyze the endogenous financial growth in the middle and in the west.