| 我国出口贸易对经济增长影响的实证分析 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 李丽,杜凌.我国出口贸易对经济增长影响的实证分析[J].财贸研究,2007,18(4):44-49. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 李丽 杜凌 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 湖北经济学院,经贸学院,湖北,武汉,430205;中南财经政法大学,信息学院,湖北,武汉,430064 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文分别利用1983-2003年的年度数据和1995-2004年的季度数据,运用协整检验及Granger因果检验等方法对我国出口贸易对经济增长的影响进行双变量和多变量的实证分析,结果显示,我国出口与经济增长之间不存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系,但是它们之间存在互为因果的反馈性联系,说明我国现阶段的经济增长是出口导向型的,文章对产生这种现象的原因进行了解释并且给出了相应的政策建议。
|
| 关 键 词： | 经济增长 出口贸易 单位根检验 协整检验 Granger因果关系检验 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-04-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年4月10日 |
An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Export Trade on Economic Growth in China |
| |
| LI Li,DU Ling.An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Export Trade on Economic Growth in China[J].Finance and Trade Research,2007,18(4):44-49. |
| |
| Authors: | LI Li DU Ling |
| |
| Institution: | 1. School of Economics and Trade, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan 430205;2. School of Information, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan 430064 |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper applies Granger causality test and co-integration test to analyze the impact of our export trade on the economic growth of China with double variables and multi-variables based separately on the annual data and quarterly data of 1983-2003. Results show that there are no significant long-term stationary dynamic equilibrium relationships between the export trade and the economic growth. But there is feedback relationship of mutual causality between these two variables. It indicates that the current economic growth in China is export-oriented growth. This paper explains this phenomenon and puts forward some recommendations. |
| |
| Keywords: | economic growth export trade unit root test co-integration test Granger causality test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
