| 论我国外贸进出口变动影响因素 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭睿 等. 论我国外贸进出口变动影响因素[J]. 价值工程, 2014, 0(23): 162-164 |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭睿 等 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]西安财经学院,西安710100; [2]陕西延长石油材料有限责任公司,西安710007 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文从宏观因素上和结构因素上分别对我国外贸进出口总额增减变动趋势进行分析,在宏观方面运用逐步回归,得出1985-2009年我国外贸进出口总额的变动主要取决于国内生产总值和实际利用外资两个因素的变动。在结构方面运用动态分析,得出了影响外贸进出口总额最重要的因素是机械和运输设备的进出口额。
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| 关 键 词： | 逐步回归 动态分析 外贸进出口 |
Factors Influencing the Fluctuation of Import and Export Trade |
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| Affiliation: | GUO Rui,GU Li-feng ( 1.Xi＇an University of Finance and Economics, Xi＇an 710100 , China, 2.Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Material Co., Ltd., Xi＇an 710007, China ) |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the fluctuation trend of China＇s import and export trade gross from macro factors and structure factors.By using stepwise regression in the macro aspect, the conclusion shows that the fluctuations of China＇s import and export trade gross from1985 to 2009 mainly depends on the fluctuation of GDP and the actual utilization of foreign capital. In terms of the structure factor, a conclusion was made that the import and export gross of machinery and transport equipment affects the import and export trade gross with dynamic analysis. |
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| Keywords: | stepwise regression dynamic analysis import and export trade |
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