中国尚未到达刘易斯转折点

本文提出中国进入刘易斯转折点的判断标准:农民工实际工资较快提升,农民工与农民纯收入之比快速增加,"民工荒"及农民工工资上涨原因是劳动力短缺;实证表明中国尚未进入刘易斯转折点。最后针对"民工荒"及农民工工资上涨提出政策建议:推进农民工有序市民化、加快土地流转进程、力促农村剩余劳动力条理转移和提高农民工劳动力市场质量。

Lewis Truning Points: Not Yet in China

This paper proposes the criterion that China enter the Lewis turning point,that’s,wages of rural Migrants are rapidly improving;the ratio of the income between rural Migrants and farmers is quickly increasing;the reason about mingonghuang and the improvement in wages of rural migrants is labor shortage.Evidence shows that China has yet to enter the Lewis turning point.In the end,some policy recommendations are made,that’s to say,promote orderly community of rural migrants;Speed ??up the process of land transfer;Urge the orderly transfer of rural surplus labor;Improve the quality of the labor market about rural Migrants.