COSTS OF HOUSING CRISES: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE |
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Authors: | Christian Aßmann Jens Boysen‐Hogrefe Nils Jannsen |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Economics, University of Bamberg, , Germany;2. Kiel Institute for the World Economy, , Germany |
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Abstract: | This paper analyses the costs of housing crises in terms of GDP growth and the economic conditions under which crises are particularly costly. Housing crises are often followed by recessions that are longer than other recessions. According to empirical estimates, a housing crisis reduces the GDP growth rate in the following year on average by two percentage points and has still a considerable negative impact in the second year. One important channel through which the effect of housing crises is passed on seems to be the banking sector. In addition, our results suggest that negative wealth effects possibly cause further reductions in GDP growth. |
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Keywords: | housing crisis panel data E21 E32 C23 |
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