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Climate in the region of origin and destination choice in outbound tourism demand
Authors:Juan L. Eugenio-Martin  Juan A. Campos-Soria
Affiliation:1. Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Departamento de Análisis Económico Aplicado, C/ Saulo Torón s/n, F.CC. EE. Y EE., Despacho D. 2.06, CP. 35017, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain;2. University of Cambridge, Department of Land Economy, Cambridge, UK;3. Universidad de Málaga, Departamento de Economía Aplicada (Estructura Económica), Plaza El Ejido s/n, CP. 29013, Málaga, Spain
Abstract:This paper describes the relationship between regional climate in the home area and the choice of taking holidays in the region of origin or abroad. This decision is simultaneously estimated with a bivariate probit model. The study combines the socioeconomic characteristics of European households with information on the region of residence, such as climate, which is defined according to a new annualized climate index. The estimated probabilities are analysed using GIS and nonparametric techniques. The results of modelling support the hypothesis that the climate in the region of residence is a strong determinant of holiday destination choice. They show that residents in regions with better climate indices have a higher probability of travelling domestically and a lower probability of travelling abroad.
Keywords:Regional   Climate   Outbound tourism demand   Destination choice   Domestic tourism   International tourism
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