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Identifying common dynamic features in stock returns
Authors:Jorge Caiado  Nuno Crato
Institution:1. CEMAPRE , Instituto Superior de Economia e Gest?o, Technical University of Lisbon , Rua do Quelhas 6, 1200-781 Lisboa, Portugal jcaiado@iseg.utl.pt;3. CEMAPRE , Instituto Superior de Economia e Gest?o, Technical University of Lisbon , Rua do Quelhas 6, 1200-781 Lisboa, Portugal
Abstract:This paper proposes volatility and spectral based methods for the cluster analysis of stock returns. Using the information about both the estimated parameters in the threshold GARCH (or TGARCH) equation and the periodogram of the squared returns, we compute a distance matrix for the stock returns. Clusters are formed by looking to the hierarchical structure tree (or dendrogram) and the computed principal coordinates. We employ these techniques to investigate the similarities and dissimilarities between the ‘blue-chip’ stocks used to compute the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) index.
Keywords:Asymmetric effects  Cluster analysis  DJIA stock returns  Periodogram  Threshold GARCH model  Volatility
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