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Price and volatility spillovers between exchange rates and stock indexes for the pre- and post-euro period
Authors:Chaker Aloui
Institution:1. Faculty of Management and Economic Sciences of Tunis, Department of Finance and Accounting , El Manar University , Boulevard du 7 Novembre, Tunis El Manar, Tunis Cedex, BP 280, Tunisia chaker.aloui@fsegt.rnu.tn
Abstract:In this paper we explore the nature of the mean, volatility and causality transmission mechanism between stock and foreign exchange markets for the United States and some major European markets for the periods pre- and post-euro. The asymmetric volatility transmission is described by an extended Multivariate Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (EGARCH) model. The results support the asymmetric and long-range persistence volatility spillover effect and show strong evidence of causality in the mean and variance between foreign exchange rate and stock price for both pre- and post-euro periods. However, the stock price has a more significant effect on foreign exchange rate for the two subsamples. These results are robust to the cross-correlation function test suggested by Cheung and Ng. The implication is particularly important for international portfolio managers when devising hedging and diversification strategies for their portfolios.
Keywords:Exchange rate  Stock index price  Multivariate EGARCH model  Asymmetric volatility spillover  Causality  Cross-correlation
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