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Portfolio selection with higher moments
Authors:Campbell R Harvey  John C Liechty  Merrill W Liechty  Peter Müller
Institution:1. Duke University , Durham, NC 27708, USA;2. National Bureau of Economic Research , Cambridge, MA 02138, USA cam.harvey@duke.edu;4. Pennsylvania State University , University Park, PA 16803, USA;5. Drexel University , Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA;6. University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center , Houston, TX 77030, USA
Abstract:We propose a method for optimal portfolio selection using a Bayesian decision theoretic framework that addresses two major shortcomings of the traditional Markowitz approach: the ability to handle higher moments and parameter uncertainty. We employ the skew normal distribution which has many attractive features for modeling multivariate returns. Our results suggest that it is important to incorporate higher order moments in portfolio selection. Further, our comparison to other methods where parameter uncertainty is either ignored or accommodated in an ad hoc way, shows that our approach leads to higher expected utility than competing methods, such as the resampling methods that are common in the practice of finance.
Keywords:Bayesian decision problem  Multivariate skewness  Parameter uncertainty  Optimal portfolios  Utility function maximization
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