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Disentangling and quantifying market participant volatility contributions
Authors:Marcello Rambaldi  Emmanuel Bacry  Jean-François Muzy
Institution:1. CEREMADE, Université Paris-Dauphine, CNRS, UMR 7534, 75775 Paris, Francemarcello.rambaldi@polytechnique.edu;3. CEREMADE, Université Paris-Dauphine, CNRS, UMR 7534, 75775 Paris, France;4. CMAP, Ecole Polytechnique, CNRS, UMR 7641, 91128 Palaiseau, France;5. SPE, Université de Corse, CNRS, UMR 6134, Campus Grimaldi, 20250 Corte, France
Abstract:Thanks to the access to labeled orders on the CAC 40 index future provided by Euronext, we are able to quantify market participants contributions to the volatility in the diffusive limit. To achieve this result, we leverage the branching properties of Hawkes point processes. We find that fast intermediaries (e.g. market maker type agents) have a smaller footprint on the volatility than slower, directional agents. The branching structure of Hawkes processes allows us to examine also the degree of endogeneity of each agent behavior, and we find that high-frequency traders are more endogenously driven than other types of agents.
Keywords:Volatility  Hawkes process  Agent-based model  High-frequency data  Agent behavior
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