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Political stability,corruption and trust in politicians
Institution:1. Research Institute for Work and Society, University of Leuven, Belgium;2. Centre for Sociological Research, University of Leuven, Belgium;1. University of Lille, LEM CNRS (UMR 9221), Cité Scientifique, Bâtiment SH2, F 59655, Villeneuve d’Ascq Cedex, France;2. LIEPP Sciences Po Paris, France;3. Université libre de Bruxelles (ULB), Centre Emile Bernheim de Recherche Interdisciplinaire en Gestion, CP-114/03, Avenue F.D. Roosevelt, 50, 1050. Bruxelles, Belgium
Abstract:In this article we develop a dynamic model where an endogenous evolution of trust impacts a politician's choice for bribe-taking and tax re-distribution. The politician obtains utility from net income that comes from his wage income, tax embezzlements and bribe-taking, and he also has incentives for tax re-distribution. The higher the tax embezzlements and the more bribes the politician takes the lower his citizens' trust and the less likely will he be re-elected. We support the evolution of trust with an econometric investigation.We analyze the necessary and sufficient conditions, and find that withholding taxes and taking bribes may be complements or substitutes for a politician, depending on the politician's incentives for tax re-distribution. Without these incentives, tax embezzlement and bribe taking are necessarily substitutes. With sufficiently strong incentives, we find re-distribution and bribe-taking may become complements. Complements implies that the politician, at least partly, increases bribe-taking because this allows him to increase re-distribution, which aids his additional motives for tax re-distribution.Based on comparative statics at steady state we also find that the higher the politician's wage the lower the bribe-taking and the higher the trust; stronger social capital leads to less bribe-taking and higher levels of trust; improvements in electoral accountability induce a decrease in bribing while trust increases.
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