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Regime-switching in volatility and correlation structure using range-based models with Markov-switching
Affiliation:1. Graduate Institute of Finance, National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taiwan, ROC;2. Department of Finance, National Kaohsiung First University of Science and Technology, Taiwan, ROC
Abstract:This study examines latent shifts in the conditional volatility and correlation for the U.S. stock and T-bond data using the two-state Markov-switching range-based volatility and correlation models. This paper comes up with clear evidence of volatility regime-switching in stock indices and T-bond over the crisis period. As regards the process of correlation, we also find evidence of regime changes in correlations between stock indices and T-bond over several financial crises. We conclude that the phenomena of both volatility and correlation regime-switching are triggered by these financial crises. In addition, the range-based volatility and correlation model with regime-switching method could explicitly point out the true date of structure changes in the data generating process for volatility and correlation variables.
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