Demographic structure and the security of property rights: The role of development and democracy |
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Institution: | 1. Ifo Institute — Leibniz-Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, Poschingerstr. 5, D-81679 Munich. Germany;2. University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Department of Economics, Lange Gasse 20, 90403 Nuremberg, Germany |
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Abstract: | It is often argued that countries with a high population share of children and young workers should attract large capital inflows from aging industrialized economies. However, many of these countries deter foreign investors by a high risk of creeping or outright expropriation. In this paper we explore whether the correlation between countries' demographic structure and the perceived security of property rights reflects a causal relationship. We show that, in low-income countries, the ratio of young to old workers has a positive effect on the perceived security of property rights if the political system is sufficiently democratic. By contrast, this relationship cannot be observed in middle income countries. |
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