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The dynamics of household dissolution and change in socio-economic position: A survival model in a rural South Africa
Authors:Kurt Sartorius  Benn KD Sartorius  Mark A Collinson  Stephen M Tollman
Institution:1. Professor, School of Accountancy, University of the Witwatersrand, Private Bag 3, Wits 2050, South AfricaKurt.Sartorius@wits.ac.za;3. Associate Professor, Discipline of Public Health Medicine, School of Nursing and Public Health, College of Health Sciences, University of Kwazulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa;4. MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa;5. Professor, MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa;6. Centre for Global Health Research, Epidemiology and Global Health, Ume? University, Ume?, Sweden;7. INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana;8. Senior Researcher, MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
Abstract:This paper investigates household dissolution and changes in asset wealth (socio-economic position) in a rural South African community containing settled refugees. Survival analysis applied to a longitudinal dataset indicated that the covariates increasing the risk of forced household dissolution were a reduction in socio-economic position (asset wealth), adult deaths and the permanent outmigration of more than 40% of the household. Conversely, the risk of dissolution was reduced by bigger households, state grants and older household heads. Significant spatial clusters of former refugee villages also showed a higher risk of dissolution after 20?years of permanent residence. A discussion of the dynamics of dissolution showed how an outflow/inflow of household assets (socio-economic position) was precipitated by each of the selected covariates. The paper shows how an understanding of the dynamics of forced household dissolution, combined with the use of geo-spatial mapping, can inform inter-disciplinary policy in a rural community.
Keywords:household dissolution  rural
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