中国地方政府超额公共支出规模的测度及其控制——基于省级政府面板数据的实证分析

通过直接的收支平衡方法、最优公共支出规模方法和债务可持续性方法对中国地方政府不断积累的超额支出规模进行估计,结果表明,地方政府债务规模仍然处于相对可以控制的范围之内,东部部分地区的债务规模中等,偿债压力中等。为了控制政府的支出规模,当前提高财政透明度、改变官员的绩效考核方式、合理界定地方支出范围势在必行。

On the Measure of Excessive Local Public Spending and Its Control

This article tries to assess the excessive local public spending by empirical analysis with the increasing expansion of local public spending in China.The public debts of sub national government are still under control.The debt size of east area is in the mid-level and its pressure for the repayment is also in the mid-level.It is necessary to increase the transparency of public finance,change the performance accessing of government officials and define the items of local public expenditure properly in order to control subnational public expenditure.