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Can learning cause shorter delays in reaching agreements?
Institution:1. Department of Economics and Management, Université de Cergy-Pontoise & THEMA, Cergy-Pontoise, 95011, France;2. Department of Economics, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, 30602, USA;1. Dipartimento di Matematica e Informatica, University of Cagliari, Italy;2. Dipartimento di Economia, University of Cagliari, Italy
Abstract:This paper uses a continuous-time war of attrition model to investigate how learning about private payoffs affects delays in reaching agreement. At each point in time, players may receive a private Poisson signal that completely reveals the concession payoff to be high (good-news learning) or low (bad-news learning). In the good-news model, the expected delay is always non-monotonic in the learning rate: an increase in the learning rate prolongs delay in agreement if the learning rate is sufficiently low. In the bad-news model, numerical examples suggest learning prolongs delay as well.
Keywords:Learning  War of attrition  Delay  Incomplete information
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