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江苏经济增长与港口物流发展的关系——基于误差修正模型的实证分析
引用本文:刘庆广. 江苏经济增长与港口物流发展的关系——基于误差修正模型的实证分析[J]. 价值工程, 2012, 31(22): 174-176
作者姓名:刘庆广
作者单位:南通航运职业技术学院管理信息系,南通,226010
基金项目:江苏省教育厅社科基金资助项目
摘    要:本文利用江苏省1990-2010年的数据,采用协整分析,格兰杰因果检验的计量方法对江苏省经济增长与港口物流发展的关系进行分析,并根据格兰杰定理建立了两者之间的误差修正模型。揭示了江苏省港口物流与江苏经济增长之间的长期关系和短期动态关系。

关 键 词:港口物流  区域经济  协整  误差修正模型

Relationship between Economic Growth and Port Logistics Development in Jiangsu: An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model
LIU Qing-guang. Relationship between Economic Growth and Port Logistics Development in Jiangsu: An Empirical Analysis Based on VAR Model[J]. Value Engineering, 2012, 31(22): 174-176
Authors:LIU Qing-guang
Affiliation:LIU Qing-guang(School of Management and Information,Nantong Shipping College,Nantong 226010,China)
Abstract:This paper analyzed the relationship between the port logistics development and the economic growth of Jiangsu province by quantitative methods of cointegration analysis and Granger causality test using the data from 1990 to 2010.Then based on the theorem of Grainger,it established an error correction model and revealed the long-term and short-term dynamic relationships between the port logistics development and the economic growth of Jiangsu province.
Keywords:port logistics  regional economy  cointegration  error correction model
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