外国直接投资的国际贸易效应:基于我国行业数据的分析

本文在Rybczynski定理的基础上考察了外国直接投资与国际贸易之间替代和互补的关系。在理论分析部分,建立了一个简化的要素特定模型,分析了特定部门初始贸易状态与部门产出以及外国直接投资的关系。在实证分析部分,用我国各行业外国直接投资和贸易的数据对其进行了检验,结果发现外国直接投资对我国各行业贸易的影响都很显著,但是具体的替代和互补关系却因时期不同而不同。

The International Trade Effect of FDI-Analysis Based on China's Sector Data

This paper investigates whether FDI serves as a complement to trade or a substitute for trade based on the effects identified by the Rybczynski theorem. In the discussion part of theory, the paper sets up a simple specific-factor model and analyzes the relationship among initial condition of trade, the sector production and FDI in the specific sector. In the demonstration part, it uses China's sector data of FDI and volumes of trade to test the theory conclusions, and the results shows that the trade effect of FDI in all the sectors are significant, but the specific relationship between FDI and trade in China changes with the different periods.