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北京城市化与第三产业发展的互动关系分析
引用本文:史常亮. 北京城市化与第三产业发展的互动关系分析[J]. 北京市经济管理干部学院学报, 2010, 25(4): 27-30
作者姓名:史常亮
作者单位:北京林业大学经济管理学院;
摘    要:本文通过建立向量自回归模型,运用动态计量方法对北京城市化水平与第三产业发展之间的关系进行实证分析并提出相关政策建议。分析结果表明:第三产业发展长期内对城市化具有显著促进作用,但城市化对第三产业发展的影响却比较小;Granger短期因果关系检验发现,在短期内,第三产业发展是城市化水平提高的原因,反之则不成立。

关 键 词:北京市  城市化  第三产业

The analysis of interactive relationship between urbanization and the third industry development in Beijing
SHI Chang-liang. The analysis of interactive relationship between urbanization and the third industry development in Beijing[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Economic Management, 2010, 25(4): 27-30
Authors:SHI Chang-liang
Affiliation:SHI Chang-liang(Economy and Management School,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China)
Abstract:The paper analyzed empirically the relationship between urbanization and the third industry development of Beijing Municipality and put forward relevant policy recommendations by using dynamic measurement method through building VAR model.The results showed that the third industry development has long-term significant effects on urbanization promotion,while urbanization has relatively small impact on the third industry development.The Granger Short-term Causality Test showed that the third industry developm...
Keywords:Beijing municipality  urbanization  the third industry  
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