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Do rainfall conditions push or pull rural migrants: evidence from Malawi |
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| Authors: | Paul A Lewin Monica Fisher Bruce Weber |
| Institution: | 1. Moody's Analytic, 121 N Walnut St Suite 500, West Chester, PA 1980, USA;2. Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Oregon State University, 213 Ballard Extension Hall, Corvallis, OR 97331, USA;3. International Food Policy Research Institute, 2033 K Street, NW, Washington DC, 20006, USA |
| Abstract: | This article uses nationally representative data from Malawi's 2004/05 Integrated Household Survey (IHS2) to examine whether rainfall conditions influence a rural worker's decision to make a long‐term move to an urban or another rural area. Results of a Full Information Maximum Likelihood regression model reveal that (1) rainfall shocks have a negative association with rural out‐migration, (2) migrants choose to move to communities where rainfall variability and drought probability are lower, and (3) rainfall shocks have larger negative effects on the consumption of recent migrants than on the consumption of long‐time residents. |
| Keywords: | J61 O1 O55 Q1 R1 R23 Q54 Regional migration Geographic labor mobility Climate Natural disasters Global warming Africa Malawi |