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A plausible model of yield curve dynamics
Authors:Gideon Magnus
Affiliation:1.Morningstar, Inc.,Chicago,USA
Abstract:We present a simple model of yield curve dynamics which satisfies key criteria of plausibility. Specifically, yields are non-negative and the Sharpe ratio of a mean-variance optimal bond portfolio has a reasonable magnitude. The model matches stylized data features, in particular long-run moments of yields and excess returns.
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